This is an excellent reminder that national polling is worthless as a measure of national support, especially Electoral College strength. We need only pay attention to credible polling (look hard; they're challenging to find) in these states: Nevada, Arizona, Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Georgia, and maybe New Hampshire, Virginia, and North Carolina. Please pay close attention to the +65 graphic - if a poll shows them heavily for Harris, the poll is a classic case of either selection or response bias. And if the reports of polls don't share their demographics and crosstabs, toss them in the circular file.
This is an excellent reminder that national polling is worthless as a measure of national support, especially Electoral College strength. We need only pay attention to credible polling (look hard; they're challenging to find) in these states: Nevada, Arizona, Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Georgia, and maybe New Hampshire, Virginia, and North Carolina. Please pay close attention to the +65 graphic - if a poll shows them heavily for Harris, the poll is a classic case of either selection or response bias. And if the reports of polls don't share their demographics and crosstabs, toss them in the circular file.